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Security services in Transnistria reported that a drone attacked a military unit near the border with Ukraine, causing minor damage to a radar station but no casualties. The incident occurred in Rabnita, about 4 miles from the Ukraine border, and a criminal investigation has been opened. The state security ministry did not identify who they believed was behind the attack. Moldova’s Bureau for Reintegration Policies stated that the incident was part of a pattern of provocations in Transnistria aimed at creating panic and tension to draw attention to the region.

Moldova, like Ukraine, is seeking European Union membership and has accused Russia of waging a “hybrid war” against the country. Allegations include meddling in local elections, disinformation campaigns, and attempts to prevent Moldova’s EU membership. Russia has denied these accusations. The recent drone incident is just one in a series of events that have raised fears of Russian interference in the region. Last month, an empty helicopter at a military installation in Transnistria was destroyed, with authorities blaming a Ukrainian drone strike, while Moldovan officials claimed it was a staged explosion to escalate tensions.

Despite not directly accusing Russia, Moldova has expressed concerns that the Russian Federation has more planned actions in Transnistria. The region declared independence from Moldova in the 1990s and is not recognized by any U.N. member countries. However, it has become a source of tension during the war between Russia and Ukraine, as it is located between the two countries and hosts a military base with 1,500 Russian troops. It remains unclear if any troops were present at the site of the drone incident. In February, Transnistria’s congress appealed to Moscow for “protection” due to alleged pressure from Moldova, although it did not request annexation, leading Moldova to dismiss the event as propaganda.

The conflict in Transnistria highlights the ongoing power struggle between Russia and Moldova, with the pro-Western government firmly opposed to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s actions in Ukraine. The drone incident and previous provocations in the region underscore the delicate balance of power and potential for escalation. Moldova’s efforts to join the European Union and accusations of Russian interference further complicate the situation, raising concerns about the region’s stability and security. The involvement of Russian troops in Transnistria adds another layer of complexity, as tensions between Moldova, Russia, and Ukraine continue to simmer.

As Moldova navigates its path towards EU membership and grapples with Russian influence in Transnistria, the region remains a focal point for geopolitical tensions. The drone attack and previous incidents serve as reminders of the fragile peace in the area and the potential for conflict escalation. Moldova’s accusations against Russia, combined with the history of the region and the presence of Russian troops, create a volatile mix that could have broader implications for regional stability. The international community will be closely watching developments in Transnistria as the situation unfolds and assesses the impact on Moldova’s aspirations for EU membership.

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