The 2024 presidential election in Arizona is shaping up to be a tight race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, with Trump holding a slight edge in most recent surveys. Arizona has 11 Electoral College votes, making it a key battleground state for both candidates in their quest to reach the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency. Immigration has emerged as a core issue for voters in Arizona, with recent polls indicating that it is a key determinant in many voters’ decision-making process.
Recent polling data from various sources shows differing results in the race between Trump and Harris in Arizona. While some polls, such as the one conducted by AtlasIntel, show Trump with a slight lead over Harris, others, like the Morning Consult poll sponsored by Bloomberg News, provide a different perspective, showing Harris ahead by a small margin. The Fox News poll and the USA Today/Suffolk University poll also offer contrasting results, with Trump leading in one and Harris leading in the other.
Immigration has been identified as a key issue for voters in Arizona, with a significant number citing it as their main voting concern. The issue has become even more prominent as Vice President Harris made a visit to the U.S.-Mexico border and emphasized her commitment to reviving a bipartisan border bill that was blocked by Senate Republicans. The Hispanic vote is expected to play a critical role in determining the outcome in Arizona, as Harris leads Trump among Hispanic voters in recent polls.
While the presidential race in Arizona remains close, the state’s Senate race shows a clear lead for Democratic candidate Ruben Gallego over Republican candidate Kari Lake, according to the Fox News poll. Interestingly, a significant number of voters are planning to split their ticket, with independents more likely to support Gallego but not Harris, and Republicans more likely to follow suit. This trend suggests that voters in Arizona may be considering candidates separately in the presidential and Senate races.
Overall, the race for the presidency in Arizona remains highly competitive, with both Trump and Harris vying for support in a state that could prove crucial in determining the outcome of the election. The contrasting poll results highlight the uncertainty surrounding the race, and the importance of key issues such as immigration and the Hispanic vote. As the campaigns continue to unfold, it will be interesting to see how the candidates adapt their strategies to appeal to Arizona voters and ultimately secure victory in this battleground state.
