Climate change is having an impact on the location of terrorist activity, as indicated by an exploratory study conducted by extremism expert Dr Jared Dmello of the University of Adelaide. The study focused on terrorist activity in India between 1998-2017 and found that climatological variables such as temperature, precipitation, and elevation were related to shifting patterns of terrorist activity. Increased population density in urban centers with favorable climates and dynamic climates in remote areas have led to a migration of extremist groups to new locales. The intensity of climatological variables, as well as seasonal changes, were found to be factors in the shifting of terrorist activity.
The research conducted by Dr Dmello also highlighted the significance of stopping climate change as a national security and defense issue. The study revealed that the effects of climate change are not just environmental but directly tied to national security. Other forms of extremist behavior, such as training locations, are also likely shifting in response to climate change. This new understanding of how climate change affects patterns of terrorism is crucial for informing national security and defense strategies in countries around the world, including Australia.
The study found that average temperatures in India reached record highs during the 20-year study period, providing a broad enough range to demonstrate climate change. This information is essential for governments to address radicalization and violent extremism, even in countries like Australia where terrorism manifests differently than in India. Dr Dmello emphasized that issues such as homelessness, food insecurity, water and energy crises, and social equity are critical in mitigating radicalization and ensuring a more secure environment for all individuals. The Australian government has identified radicalization as a national priority, underscoring the importance of understanding the link between climate change and extremism.
Dr Dmello, who recently received the Early Career Award from the Academy of Criminal Justice Sciences’ Security and Crime Prevention Section, is also focusing on research related to security and extremism in the Australian context. He has co-edited a book on security in the Arctic and is exploring how emerging issues impact radicalization in Australia. His research aims to partner with government and law enforcement to prevent engagement with extremist ideologies. He is particularly interested in investigating the role of water and food inequities on radicalization worldwide, highlighting the importance of addressing these societal issues to combat extremism effectively.
The study published in the Journal of Applied Security Research sheds light on the link between climate change and terrorist activities, specifically in India. The research suggests that as climate change continues to affect different regions, extremist groups may migrate to new locations in response to changing climatic conditions. Dr Dmello’s findings underscore the complex relationship between climate change, national security, and extremism, emphasizing the need for comprehensive strategies to address radicalization and violent extremism. By understanding and addressing the underlying factors contributing to radicalization, governments can work towards creating a more secure and resilient society for all individuals.
