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In the past decade, big oil companies have been navigating the transition to renewable energy while still maintaining their traditional fossil fuel operations. This shift was accelerated by the Covid-19 pandemic, prompting companies to make pledges to achieve net zero carbon emissions by 2050. European oil majors such as Shell, BP, and TotalEnergies were seen aggressively pursuing investments in renewables, often outbidding more experienced firms in the sector. However, despite their efforts to diversify, they continued to rely on profits from their traditional energy operations to meet shareholder demands for stable quarterly dividends.

Environmental groups in Europe criticized the oil companies for not following through on their promises to reduce hydrocarbon production, while long-term shareholders expressed frustration with the lack of focus on their core business. The geopolitical implications of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022 led to a spike in oil and gas prices, providing a financial boost to the oil majors. This created a delicate balancing act for CEOs, who now had to meet emissions targets, invest in renewable technologies, and keep shareholders satisfied.

Recent moves by European oil companies such as Shell, BP, and TotalEnergies indicate a shift towards openly acknowledging the importance of oil and gas revenues in maintaining shareholder confidence. Shell CEO Wael Sawan emphasized the role of hydrocarbons in the energy mix and the company’s reliance on traditional energy sources to meet shareholder expectations. Shell’s focus on providing stable dividends, launching share buybacks, and scaling back on non-traditional energy investments has been well-received by investors.

BP’s CEO Murray Auchincloss has also prioritized shareholder value by offering buybacks, dividend increases, and cost-cutting measures. TotalEnergies, under the leadership of Patrick Pouyanné, has followed suit with multibillion share buybacks and dividend hikes. Both companies have hinted at potentially moving their primary equity market listings to the U.S., where traditional energy companies are valued more highly compared to Europe.

While transitioning to a more traditional approach may prove challenging, the oil majors believe that openly recognizing the importance of oil and gas revenues will help unlock near-term value. By focusing on providing stable dividends and returning to tried and tested business practices, European oil companies are aiming to strengthen shareholder confidence and maintain profitability. As the energy landscape continues to evolve, these companies are adapting their strategies to meet the demands of both investors and the industry.

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