Vice President Kamala Harris continues to be the favorite to win the election in November, leading former President Donald Trump in bookmakers’ odds. Despite recent polls showing a dead heat race, Harris is currently favored with a 51.8% chance of winning compared to Trump’s 47.4%. This is a slight improvement for Trump, who was more than 9 points behind Harris last week after she received positive post-debate poll results. Harris surged ahead of Trump in the polls after a strong performance in the first presidential debate between the two candidates.
According to various betting markets, Harris has a slight lead over Trump in the race for the presidency. On Polymarket, Harris is predicted to have a 50% chance of winning, just slightly ahead of Trump’s 49%. Bookmakers on the British site Smarkets give Harris a 52.1% chance of winning, while Trump’s odds are at 47.6%. PredictIt bettors consistently favor Harris, giving her 57 cents per share compared to Trump’s 47 cents per share. Despite the close race in the polls, Harris maintains a lead in various betting markets.
In key swing states, Harris’s odds have improved in recent weeks, particularly in Pennsylvania and Nevada. In Pennsylvania, bookmakers on Polymarket now give Harris a 51% chance of winning, compared to Trump’s 49%. This is a significant shift from earlier this month when Trump had higher odds. Betters on Polymarket also slightly favor Harris to win Nevada, marking another shift from earlier predictions. In national polls, Harris has a 2.9% lead over Trump, according to FiveThirtyEight’s weighted average, further solidifying her position as the favorite.
Despite Harris’s lead in the polls and betting markets, there is still uncertainty surrounding the election. Bookmakers on Polymarket believe there is a 27% chance of a second debate between Harris and Trump, down from 32% last week. Harris previously challenged Trump to another debate in late October, but Trump initially dismissed the idea as being “too late.” However, there are reports that Trump may be considering another debate, adding to the unpredictability of the election. The race between Harris and Trump continues to be closely watched as the election draws closer.
Overall, Vice President Kamala Harris maintains a lead over former President Donald Trump in bookmakers’ odds to win the election in November. While recent polls show a close race between the two candidates, Harris’s strong performance in the first presidential debate has given her a slight edge. Bookmakers predict Harris has a higher chance of winning on various platforms, including PredictIt, Polymarket, and Smarkets. Despite improvements in key swing states like Pennsylvania and Nevada, the election remains unpredictable, with the possibility of a second debate still lingering. As the election approaches, all eyes will be on the race between Harris and Trump to see who will come out on top in November.
