Summarize this content to 2000 words in 6 paragraphs in Arabic <\/p>\n
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Long gone are the days of Allan Houston\u2019s series-clinching buzzer-beater or Jeff Van Gundy hanging on Alonzo Mourning\u2019s leg.<\/p>\n
The Knicks\u2019 rivalry with the Heat is a thing of the past.<\/p>\n
It has been more than two decades since they played in the same division, and they have met only twice in the playoffs this century.<\/p>\n
That fizzled backdrop applies to my handicap for Monday\u2019s matchup at Madison Square Garden.<\/p>\n
The Knicks are back home after a five-game road trip, including the intense finale against the Warriors \u2014 a 97-94 Knicks loss \u2014 that involved some podcast tension involving Draymond Green.<\/p>\n
In his typical reckless fashion, Green falsely accused Karl-Anthony Towns of missing the previous meeting with Golden State because of a fear of Jimmy Butler.<\/p>\n
In actuality, Towns attended a funeral, yet Green didn\u2019t even apologize upon hearing actual facts.<\/p>\n
All this contributes to my anticipation of a sluggish vibe for the Knicks on Monday. The situation already sets up that way.<\/p>\n
Knicks vs. Heat odds<\/p>\n
TeamSpreadOddsTotalKnicks+7.5 (-110)+240o209.5 (-115)Heat-7.5 (-110)-300u209.5 (-105)Odds via BetMGM<\/p>\n
Knicks vs. Heat betting previews<\/p>\n
According to KillerSports.com, since 1995, teams returning home from a road trip of at least four games are 1,196-1,259-48 against the spread (ATS), which is 48.7 percent.<\/p>\n
Normally, I\u2019d fade the Knicks and be done with it.<\/p>\n
However, Miami is pretty unreliable these days, losing seven straight games to sit nine games under .500 at 29-38, which is baffling for an Erik Spoelstra team.<\/p>\n
Plus, the Heat are just 2-5 ATS during this skid, losing by 34 points to Memphis on Saturday.<\/p>\n
Given the Knicks\u2019 explosive offense, even if my anticipated sluggish start proves accurate, I worry about a barrage of points once the Knicks finally wake up.<\/p>\n
Thus, I am going to try to isolate the Knicks\u2019 expected apathy by betting the Heat +4 in the first half.<\/p>\n
Additionally, Miami is a much stronger team in the first half than second half. Specifically, the Heat rank fourth worst in fourth-quarter point differential. And they actually rank 10th in the first half, on par with playoff-bound teams like the Pistons, Timberwolves and Nuggets.<\/p>\n
And I would argue that recent form matters more.<\/p>\n
Betting on the NBA? <\/p>\n
During this seven-game skid, Miami has been outscored by a combined 11 points in the first half. However, the Heat have been outscored in all seven fourth quarters by a combined 51 points.<\/p>\n
I have a 33-18 ATS record in this Post sports section and am officially playing Miami +4 in the first half.<\/p>\n
I think that\u2019s the best way to generate the most line value, which is a betting strategy to align one\u2019s analysis with specific odds that present the best return on your money.<\/p>\n
BEST BET: Heat +4 first half (-110, DraftKings)<\/p>\n
For more betting analysis, exclusive videos, in-game alerts and much more, please visit our page (onlyplayers.com\/pluspost) solely dedicated to New York Post readers with a 50 percent discount.<\/p>\n
Why Trust New York Post Betting<\/p>\n
Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who currently serves as the Chief Content Officer for Only Players, a sports betting media company. Doug has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He\u2019s also the rare personality who has documented success \u2013 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Summarize this content to 2000 words in 6 paragraphs in Arabic New York Post may be compensated and\/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. Long gone are the days of Allan Houston\u2019s series-clinching buzzer-beater or Jeff Van Gundy hanging on Alonzo Mourning\u2019s leg.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":244593,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[58],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-244592","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/244592","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=244592"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/244592\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":244594,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/244592\/revisions\/244594"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/244593"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=244592"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=244592"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=244592"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}