Summarize this content to 2000 words in 6 paragraphs in Arabic <\/p>\n
\t\tGambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards for more information.<\/p>\n
Saturday\u2019s UFC Fight Night is more like a \u201cfight morning\u201d as we head to Saudi Arabia for a slate of fights.<\/p>\n
Israel Adesanya fights on a non-pay-per-view card for the first time since 2018, as he\u2019s headlined major cards for most of his career.<\/p>\n
He\u2019s fallen on some hard times, though, losing three of his last four fights, including an embarrassing decision loss to Sean Strickland and by submission to Dricus du Plessis.<\/p>\n
The main question we\u2019ll be asking as we head into the main event this weekend is if Adesanya\u2019s best days are behind him.<\/p>\n
It\u2019s an extremely early start time Saturday, with fights beginning at 9 a.m. ET, and the main card will go off at 12 p.m. ET.<\/p>\n
UFC Fight Night Riyadh<\/p>\n
Israel Adesanya vs. Nassourdine Imavov<\/p>\n
Is Adesanya done so soon?<\/p>\n
The \u201cLast Style Bender\u201d has an easy hall-of-fame career, and his knockouts of Alex Pereira and Robert Whittaker are legendary. <\/p>\n
But he\u2019s lost two straight fights to fighters that he would have mashed earlier in his career.<\/p>\n
It\u2019s a big spot for Adesanya to get his career back in order and, frankly, it seems that his issues have been more mental than physical.<\/p>\n
There\u2019s no denying, though, that his takedown defense has let him down over and over again of late. <\/p>\n
Imavov doesn\u2019t grapple much, but he can take down strong strikers. Look to his fight against Chris Curtis as an example for why he can win this fight on the mat.<\/p>\n
Imavov also does not have a submission win in his UFC career. <\/p>\n
However, he has attempted 10 in his UFC career and we just watched Adesanya seemingly quit against Du Plessis and submit to a neck crank. <\/p>\n
Imavov isn\u2019t a world beater, but the value side is certainly on Imavov\u2019s grappler more than Adesanya, who appears to be on a downward trajectory. <\/p>\n
PICK: Imavov by submission in Rounds 3, 4, or 5 (+2200, FanDuel)<\/p>\n
Shara Magomedov vs. Michael Page <\/p>\n
Two elite strikers face off as Shara \u201cBullet\u201d Magomedov matches up against Michael \u201cVenom\u201d Page. <\/p>\n
Notably, Page is jumping up to 185 lbs. to take this fight despite being a normal welterweight fighter at 170 lbs.<\/p>\n
Neither of these fighters is looking for takedowns. These two are going to clash in a chess match in the center of the octagon.<\/p>\n
Magomedov is the younger, more powerful of the two, while Page is a frustrating counter striker to face.<\/p>\n
I expect Page to be difficult to hit in the early going and perhaps even steal Round 1, but Magomedov should be able to takeover here as we get to the later stages.<\/p>\n
Be on the lookout for wagers on Magomedov after Round 1 at plus-money, but, for now, target Magomedov\u2019s moneyline.<\/p>\n
PICK: Magomedov ML (-185, BetMGM)<\/p>\n
Sergei Pavlovich vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik <\/p>\n
In the heavyweight division, Sergei Pavlovich faces decorated kickboxer Jairzinho Rozenstruik. <\/p>\n
Rozenstruik is more of a counter striker despite having plenty of power in his hands, while Pavlovich is a powerful monster at heavyweight.<\/p>\n
His most common path to victory is to blitz his opponent and run at them with power strikes.<\/p>\n
Pavlovich is coming off two straight losses, with a surprising one coming against Alexander Volkov as a big -225 favorite. <\/p>\n
He could blast Rozenstruik early in the fight by knocking him out inside 2:30, as Francis Ngannou did in 2020.<\/p>\n
But Pavlovich isn\u2019t that same level of striker or power.<\/p>\n
Bet on Rozenstruik pre-fight and look to add more after the first 2:30.<\/p>\n
PICK: Rozenstruik (+250, BetMGM); Wait to live bet more after 2:30 in the first round<\/p>\n
Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps<\/p>\n
UFC Full fight night Abu Dhabi picks<\/p>\n
Israel Adesanya vs. Nassourdine Imavov: Imavov by submission in rounds 3, 4 or 5 (+2200, FanDuel) <\/p>\n
Shara Magomedov vs. Michael Page: Magomdeov ML (-185, BetMGM) for parlays <\/p>\n
Sergei Pavlovich vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik: Wait to live bet Rozenstruik after 2:30 in the first round (+250, BetMGM) <\/p>\n
Said Nurmagomedov vs. Vinicius Oliveira: Oliveira ML (+400, ESPN BET)<\/p>\n
Fares Ziam vs. Mike Davis: Ziam by decision (+222, Bet365) <\/p>\n
Muhammad Naimov vs. Kaan Ofli: Pass<\/p>\n
Shamil Gaziev vs. Thomas Petersen: Fight goes to decision (+145) | Peterson wins by decision (+600, Fanatics Sportsbook)<\/p>\n
Terrance McKinney vs. Damir Hadzovic: Small bet on McKinney by decision (+1000, DraftKings)<\/p>\n
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Mayra Bueno Silva: Jasudavicius by decision (-140, FanDuel)<\/p>\n
Bogdan Grad vs. Lucas Alexander: Grad ML (+105, Caesars)<\/p>\n
Hamdy Abdelwahab (-112) vs. Jamal Pogues: Abdelwahab ML (-112, BetRivers)<\/p>\n
Why Trust New York Post Betting<\/p>\n
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he\u2019s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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