Summarize this content to 2000 words in 6 paragraphs in Arabic <\/p>\n
\t\tGambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards for more information.<\/p>\n
It\u2019s easy to look at this Saturday afternoon matchup and pencil Kansas City into the AFC conference championship, where they will face the winner of Ravens-Bills.<\/p>\n
The Houston Texans\u2019 offense has been a shell of itself due to injuries and their offensive line has mostly been terrible, posting the fifth-worst yards per carry average (3.8) from Weeks 10-18.<\/p>\n
However, it\u2019s their defensive line\u2019s matchup with the Chiefs\u2019 offensive line that could be the one to watch.<\/p>\n
Houston\u2019s defensive line is by far the top best in the NFL, ranking first in pass rush win rate and second in run stop win rate, while the Chiefs\u2019 offensive line has struggled a bit throughout the season.<\/p>\n
Texans vs. Chiefs odds<\/p>\n
TeamSpreadMoneylineTotalTexans+8.5 (-110)+375Over 41.5 (-115)Chiefs-8.5 (-110)-500Under 41.5 (-105)Odds provided by ESPN BET<\/p>\n
Texans vs. Chiefs prediction<\/p>\n
(4:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)<\/p>\n
Coming in as +350 underdogs Saturday, the Texans are expected to roll over while their defense hangs on as long as they can.<\/p>\n
The Chiefs beat the Texans, 27-19, in Week 16, although that score is deceiving since the Chiefs kneeled in the red zone to end the game.<\/p>\n
Texans receiver Tank Dell played in that game and, of course, he is out for the season after suffering a horrific knee injury that week.<\/p>\n
Last week against the Chargers, Houston played the best defensive game of the season by any team, ranking No. 1 in FTN\u2019s Defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA).<\/p>\n
In order for the Texans to be legitimate contenders in this game, C.J. Stroud needs to grow up before our eyes and launch himself into elite quarterback status.<\/p>\n
Patrick Mahomes has only lost to Tom Brady and Joe Burrow in his NFL playoff career. <\/p>\n
I think that the Texans flirt with victory here, and I worry about Mahomes\u2019 health in projected very cold conditions (highs 20s in Kansas City).<\/p>\n
The Texans\u2019 defensive line is among the best we\u2019ve seen in some time, so expect him to be hit a lot.<\/p>\n
Betting on the NFL? <\/p>\n
I have the Texans as four-point underdogs in this game, even while acknowledging that the Chiefs are healthier now than they have been all season.<\/p>\n
Cornerback Jaylen Watson is expected to play and receiver Marquise \u201cHollywood\u201d Brown look ripe to get plenty of reps Saturday.<\/p>\n
There\u2019s some value on the Texans moneyline if you believe in randomness coming at some point for the Chiefs. <\/p>\n
Lets not forget that the Patriots lost to the Jets in the 2010 playoffs behind a ravenous Rex Ryan defense and game management from Mark Sanchez. <\/p>\n
PICK: Texans +8.5 (-110, Fanatics) | Texans moneyline (+380, ESPN BET)<\/p>\n
Why Trust New York Post Betting<\/p>\n
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he\u2019s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Summarize this content to 2000 words in 6 paragraphs in Arabic Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards for more information. It\u2019s easy to look at this Saturday afternoon matchup and pencil Kansas City into the AFC conference championship,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":171074,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[58],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-171073","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/171073","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=171073"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/171073\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":171075,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/171073\/revisions\/171075"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/171074"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=171073"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=171073"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=171073"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}