Summarize this content to 2000 words in 6 paragraphs in Arabic <\/p>\n
The Post\u2019s Erich Richter makes his picks and predictions for Week 18 of the\u00a0NFL\u00a0season.<\/p>\n
Sunday<\/p>\n
49ers +4.5 over CARDINALS<\/p>\n
Even without Brock Purdy this week, the 49ers were just 3.5-point underdogs to the Lions at home and are now +4.5 on the road to the Cardinals. <\/p>\n
How much do we think Purdy is worth to the spread? <\/p>\n
San Francisco played a really tight game with one of the league\u2019s best offenses and now faces a terrible Cardinals run defense that has allowed five yards per carry since Week 10. <\/p>\n
San Francisco is seconds in yards per play this season (6.3) and fifth in yards per play allowed (5.2). <\/p>\n
There is nothing statistically that shows the 49ers should be underdogs here as Joshua Dobbs prepares to start the season finale.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Giants +3 over EAGLES<\/p>\n
Normally, the Giants would be 14-point underdogs or worse to the Eagles. Now, the Giants\u2019 \u201cA-Team\u201d will face the \u201cC Team\u201d of the 13-3 Eagles, who still have plenty of talent throughout their roster. <\/p>\n
It appears backup QB Kenny Pickett will sit as third-stringer Tanner McKee starts for Philadelphia. <\/p>\n
McKee looked excellent in his NFL debut, but the Giants players are still trying to win games, for whatever that is worth. <\/p>\n
I wouldn\u2019t bet it personally, but I expect the Giants to win a second game in a row as Brian Daboll makes his case to keep his job.\u00a0<\/p>\n
PACKERS -10 over Bears<\/p>\n
Chicago has the fifth-fewest yards per play in the NFL over the past three weeks (4.7), and it has the lowest figure overall in the NFL this year (4.6). <\/p>\n
Neither team is sitting their starters, so we\u2019re going to get a fully operational Packers offense that has the fifth-best yards per play average. <\/p>\n
Chicago\u2019s offensive line is hitting embarrassing levels \u2014 allowing Caleb Williams to be sacked 68 times, by far the most in the league.\u00a0<\/p>\n
FALCONS -8.5 over Panthers<\/p>\n
Michael Penix Jr. is not all that and a bag of chips, but Bijan Robinson certainly is. <\/p>\n
He is 10th in yards per carry, while the Panthers allowed an obscene 6.1 yards per carry since Week 11, by far the worst. <\/p>\n
Robinson and Tyler Allgeier get plenty of runways as the Panthers struggle to hold down the fort.\u00a0<\/p>\n
BUCCANEERS -14 over Saints<\/p>\n
Not only are you playing the Saints, but you\u2019re playing most of their backups. <\/p>\n
Alvin Kamara won\u2019t be out there at running back for the Saints, and Spencer Rattler gets back in there to start at quarterback in place of injured Derek Carr. <\/p>\n
Tampa Bay needs this game, which we know, but the Saints have been horrific in recent weeks. <\/p>\n
They were shut out by the Packers two weeks ago and scored just 10 points against the Raiders.\u00a0<\/p>\n
COWBOYS +6.5 over Commanders<\/p>\n
Still playing hard, just not playing well. Starters should be out there for both teams, but the Commanders rely so much on Jayden Daniels and his legs that even in a game like this, I expect them to take it a bit easier than usual. <\/p>\n
Daniels had led Washington in rushing yards in three straight games (all wins) and has taken some brutal hits.\u00a0<\/p>\n
BRONCOS -11 over Chiefs<\/p>\n
The Chiefs beat the Chargers last year while starting their backups and now head into a double bye week after earning the No. 1 seed in the AFC. <\/p>\n
For now the Chiefs are expected to start Carson Wentz, though you should get to know the name Chris Oladokun if you are to bet on Kansas City. <\/p>\n
He\u2019s the third-stringer and will surely get some time as the Chiefs sit nearly their entire team.\u00a0<\/p>\n
COLTS -5 over Jaguars<\/p>\n
Pat McAfee wants this entire team to enter the transfer portal, but not before they screw up the Colts\u2019 draft position. <\/p>\n
Jacksonville is 26th in defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA) this season, with their defense rated No. 32. <\/p>\n
The Colts should win this one easy if they haven\u2019t totally quit on their coach.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Texans +1.5 over TITANS<\/p>\n
I\u2019m predicting the Titans to go 2-15 against the spread, the worst number in the NFL since at least 2003, the latest data was available. <\/p>\n
Houston has played poorly in recent weeks, but the Titans passing offense is bad enough (22nd in DVOA) that they should be able to throw enough to snag a win. <\/p>\n
Houston still has the No. 2 defense, according to DVOA. <\/p>\n
This betting line makes no sense unless Vegas has inside info that the Texans aren\u2019t playing this game seriously.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Dolphins -1 over JETS<\/p>\n
The Jets can\u2019t stop the run, coming in No. 24 against it, according to DVOA. <\/p>\n
Between De\u2019Von Achane and Raheem Mostert, there\u2019s no reason this game should be particularly close, considering even Jets players are saying that some are mentally checked out. <\/p>\n
This team has no pride\u00a0<\/p>\n
Bills -3 over PATRIOTS<\/p>\n
New England curiously announced Drake Maye as questionable to start. I think they\u2019ve seen all they\u2019ve needed this year: a future star. <\/p>\n
Meanwhile, Buffalo will play a majority of backup players while Josh Allen takes a seat for Mitch Trubisky.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Chargers -4.5 over RAIDERS<\/p>\n
This line suggests the Chargers will play most of their starters, which is the only case for betting them here. The Raiders are rated No. 27 in DVOA, and the Chargers are No. 9. <\/p>\n
If you look to the sidelines, you\u2019ll see a massive mismatch in Jim Harbaugh vs. Antonio Pierce. <\/p>\n
Be on high alert for the injury reports here, but we must project this out. Many Chargers players, including J.K. Dobbins, have incentives to hit this week. <\/p>\n
Betting on the NFL? <\/p>\n
Assuming starters play their usual snap count, we\u2019re like the Chargers.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Seahawks -6.5 over RAMS<\/p>\n
Geno Smith has a bonus that pays out $2 million if the Seahawks win 10 games this season, so we know he wants this one. <\/p>\n
The Rams are sitting nearly their entire offense as they prepare for the playoffs, while the Seahawks are out of the playoff hunt. <\/p>\n
They should be able to snag the win here with ease.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Vikings +3 over LIONS<\/p>\n
Everyone will be betting this one as two of the league\u2019s best face off in a potential NFC Championship preview. <\/p>\n
The Vikings are the healthier team in this spot with a solid defense. <\/p>\n
For the stat nerds out there, the way to beat Sam Darnold is good zone coverage schemes \u2014 he has the league third-best QB rating against man coverage (124.3) and the 20th versus zone (93.7). <\/p>\n
Detroit plays mostly man coverage (and plays it well, with 54.1 percent completions, which is second-best), but their zone coverage is horrific (74.7 percent completions, which is the fifth worst). <\/p>\n
Confidently back the Vikings on \u201cSunday Night Football.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n
Last week: 4-7.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Season: 109-121-3.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Summarize this content to 2000 words in 6 paragraphs in Arabic The Post\u2019s Erich Richter makes his picks and predictions for Week 18 of the\u00a0NFL\u00a0season. Sunday 49ers +4.5 over CARDINALS Even without Brock Purdy this week, the 49ers were just 3.5-point underdogs to the Lions at home and are now +4.5 on the road to<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":152714,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[58],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-152713","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-sports"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/152713","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=152713"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/152713\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":152715,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/152713\/revisions\/152715"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/152714"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=152713"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=152713"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=152713"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}