{"id":103427,"date":"2024-06-04T06:50:01","date_gmt":"2024-06-04T06:50:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/globeecho.com\/ar\/politics\/rewrite-this-title-in-arabic-four-scenarios-to-determine-european-council-leadership\/"},"modified":"2024-06-04T06:50:02","modified_gmt":"2024-06-04T06:50:02","slug":"rewrite-this-title-in-arabic-four-scenarios-to-determine-european-council-leadership","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/politics\/rewrite-this-title-in-arabic-four-scenarios-to-determine-european-council-leadership\/","title":{"rendered":"rewrite this title in Arabic Four scenarios to determine European Council leadership"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Summarize this content to 2000 words in 6 paragraphs in Arabic<br \/>\n        The appointment of Charles Michel\u2019s successor will be less a matter of names as which of four key configurations arise following this week&#8217;s election.<br \/>\n    ADVERTISEMENTThe contest for leadership of European Council &#8211; the prize of steering EU leaders through the next five-year mandate &#8211; entails peculiarities making it notoriously difficult to predict.The gathering of EU heads of state and government is an elite club and those wishing to chair it should\u2019ve attended it previously \u2013 so serving as political head of state is one condition for appointment.But it is also acts as a key post for maintaining balance across the appointments of top EU jobs, and offers a counter-weight to the choice of Commission president&#8217;s choice.Different post-election scenarios are likely to determine who will take the helm of the European Council, rather than lists of likely names.Here are four potential post-election screenplays.\u2018The Usual Suspects\u2019If everything goes smoothly for Ursula von der Leyen\u2019s re-appointment as Commission chief, the European Council presidency slot is bound to go to the socialists.If\u00a0this scenario materialises,\u00a0the money is on\u00a0Danish Prime Minister\u00a0Mette Frederiksen\u00a0and Portugal\u2019s former head of Portugal\u2019s government\u00a0Ant\u00f3nio Costa\u00a0for the Council chair.Public opinion in Denmark takes Frederiksen\u2019s appointment almost for granted while Portuguese consider Costa the country&#8217;s best chance of an EU top job since Jos\u00e9 Manuel Barroso left the Commission ten years ago.Costa starts slightly behind after a sudden investigation into a corruption scandal \u2013 from which he\u2019s been cleared \u2013 led to his resignation last year, but\u00a0his stock remains high with other EU leaders.On the other hand, Frederiksen will be playing her cards from inside the casino.Spain\u2019s\u00a0Pedro Sanchez\u00a0was also considered a candidate when on the verge of resigning from office a few weeks ago but\u00a0his domestic situation has since significantly improved, although his name is still doing the rounds in Brussels.The plot twist \u2013\u00a0\u00a0any \u2018The Usual Suspects\u2019 scenario needs one\u00a0\u2013 could be former Finnish prime minister\u00a0Sanna Marin, a socialist dark horse among EU leaders.\u2018Knives Out\u2019A free-for-all scenario in which socialists could be excluded from the power-sharing is not\u00a0out of the question, particularly if the majority\u00a0required to\u00a0appoint\u00a0the\u00a0Commission\u00a0is expanded to accommodate hard right parties like Giorgia Meloni\u2019s Brothers of Italy.As\u00a0in the movie \u2018Knives Out\u2019, EU leaders with more experience in chaotic all-night talks can prevail \u2013 and French President Emmanuel Macron, with experience of negotiating the EU\u00a0top jobs in 2019 could finetune a deal to reappoint another liberal in the wake of Charles Michel.Two liberals, in particular, could be perfect for the post, each\u00a0name comes with caveats however.Estonia\u2019s PM\u00a0Kaja Kallas\u00a0is already\u00a0earmarked as a potential EU\u2019s High Representative for Foreign Affairs but she could suddenly find herself in the mix for chairing the European Council in this scenario.However, many consider her\u00a0parti pris on Russia, an issue that might have scuttled her chances of becoming the next NATO Secretary General already.The second option is Belgium\u2019s PM\u00a0Alexander De Croo, who has been politically active during the Belgian presidency of the EU Council. De Croo is looking for a job as he\u2019s not expected to play a major role in national politics after the June elections.ADVERTISEMENTA problem: he would be the third Belgian appointed to the job after Charles Michel and Herman Van Rompuy, and this could raise eyebrows in many countries, particularly to the\u00a0east.\u2018Anatomy of a Fall\u2019What looks more like a disaster movie scenario for the European People\u2019s Party (EPP) would be to lead the largest parliamentary group in the Parliament and yet be unable to\u00a0 secure the head of the EU executive.The anatomy of the EPP\u2019s fall would see the centre-right ensure at least the Council presidency\u00a0instead. The strongest names in this scenario are those leaders who would like to flex their muscles on an international stage.Andrej Plenkovi\u0107,\u00a0Croatia\u2019s prime\u00a0minister since 2016,\u00a0is one such and has recently survived some tense\u00a0elections. His main political opponent, the country\u2019s president Zoran Milanovi\u0107, pressured him during the campaign saying he was planning to leave national politics and succeed Charles Michel.Another who might like to escape national politics\u00a0is Greece\u2019s Prime Minister\u00a0Kyriakos Mitsotakis. A long shot could be former\u00a0Finnish\u00a0prime minister Alex Stubb too, although he\u00a0has just begun a mandate as Finnish president.ADVERTISEMENT\u2018A Man for All Seasons\u2019As the satirical X account Berlaymonster\u00a0pointed out, Mario Draghi\u00a0has been in the mix for literally every job lately.The Italian is the proverbial rabbit out of the hat, the name no one can refuse if put on the table \u2013 and, for this reason, expected to be played quite late in the talks.As\u00a0with\u00a0Thomas More in Fred Zinnemann\u2019s classic movie, he\u2019s the man for all seasons, and could take whatever role in the next EU legislative mandate. We know he wouldn\u2019t like to be European Council president, but when the EU calls, &#8216;Super Mario&#8217; might feel compelled to answer.We don\u2019t know if the EU will make that call: Thomas More was also a learned sage whose advice was sought by kings and potentates\u00a0\u2013\u00a0though it ended badly and headless.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Summarize this content to 2000 words in 6 paragraphs in Arabic The appointment of Charles Michel\u2019s successor will be less a matter of names as which of four key configurations arise following this week&#8217;s election. ADVERTISEMENTThe contest for leadership of European Council &#8211; the prize of steering EU leaders through the next five-year mandate &#8211;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":103428,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-103427","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-politics"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103427","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103427"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103427\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":103429,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103427\/revisions\/103429"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103428"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103427"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103427"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globetimeline.com\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103427"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}