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Carlos Alcaraz loves the conditions at Indian Wells.
The Spaniard has won 14 matches in a row at tennis’ “fifth grand slam,” and has looked imperious in the 2025 iteration of the tournament.
Alcaraz is a massive -750 favorite at Bet365 to make it 15 in a row against Grigor Dimitrov on Wednesday night.
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Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrov odds
Carlos AlcarazGrigor Dimitrov-900+550Odds via Bet365
Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrov prediction
Not only has Alcaraz won 14 matches on the trot at Indian Wells, he’s only dropped two sets during that span.
The two-time defending champion has not broken a sweat this year, dispatching Quentin Halys and the in-form Denis Shapovalov in a combined two hours and thirty minutes.
Alcaraz has had his serve broken just once and has faced five breakpoints in the two matches combined.
Dimitrov’s path to the Round of 16 has been less straightforward.
While the Bulgarian made quick work of Nuno Borges in his first match, he needed three hours to dispatch Gael Monfils in a thrilling encounter Monday evening.
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Dimitrov did have off Tuesday, but the 33-year-old will still be feeling the effects of that back-and-forth with Monfils when he takes the court against Alcaraz.
Sometimes it’s best to keep things simple in betting and that’s what makes the most sense here.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrov prediction
Alcaraz has given us no reason to doubt his dominance at Indian Wells, and he should be able to get through Dimitrov without much fuss.
It wouldn’t be a shock to see at least one of these sets look lopsided, which puts value on this match staying under 19.5 games.
BEST BET: Under 19.5 games (-110, Bet365)
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Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
