In a recent poll released by Equis Research, Vice President Kamala Harris has seen a turnaround in support from Latino voters, although she is currently polling a few points below Joe Biden’s level of support in 2020. Harris is on track to hold off a GOP surge in Latino voter support, with many new voters still undecided on whether they will vote and whom they will support. The outcome in battleground states could be determined by where these voters land, as Harris has quickly amassed support among Hispanic voters who are discontented, leaving room for more potential support.
Harris currently leads former President Trump by 19 points among registered Hispanic voters in seven competitive states. This is an improvement from Biden’s 5 point lead earlier in the year, indicating that Harris has excited Latino voters and made the race more competitive. Support for Harris is particularly strong among young voters, with a 17 point lead over Biden. Harris has also seen gains in support among Latina and Latino men, as well as among moderate and conservative Latinos. However, there is still a significant portion of undecided or unlikely voters who could impact the election outcome.
While Harris has seen gains in support among Latino voters, uncertainties remain in key battleground states. She is slightly below the support level that Biden received in 2020 in some states, but has matched or exceeded those levels in others. The polling data indicates that Harris may need to work on gaining more support in states where she is currently polling below Biden’s levels to secure a victory. The poll also shows that a significant number of Latino voters are still undecided and may not decide on their vote until closer to the election.
The poll also highlights the potential impact of undecided Latino voters and those who did not vote in 2020 on the election outcome. Harris leads among newly registered voters, showing an improvement over Biden’s support in this group. The survey found that a majority of Latinos who did not vote in 2020 are now certain to vote in the upcoming election, indicating a potential shift in support from these non-voters. The unpredictability of Latino voters’ choices, especially among those who did not vote in 2020, could have a significant impact on the outcome of the election.
Overall, Vice President Kamala Harris has seen a surge in support among Latino voters, although she still has room to improve in key battleground states. Her gains in support among young voters and other subgroups indicate that she has excited Latino voters and made the race more competitive. However, the outcome of the election could be determined by undecided Latino voters and those who did not vote in 2020, as their choices are still uncertain. Harris will need to continue to engage with Latino voters to secure their support in the upcoming election and potentially sway the outcome in critical battleground states.
