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The New England Patriots enter the 2024 season with low expectations due to having a rookie quarterback in Drake Maye and a first-year head coach in Jerod Mayo. Despite this, Mayo is expected to bring the defense back on track after injuries derailed the team in 2023. However, there are concerns on offense, especially regarding how Maye will perform as a rookie quarterback. Oddsmakers are not optimistic about the Patriots’ chances, with the team’s futures odds reflecting low expectations.

Offensively, the skepticism surrounding the Patriots seems justified. Maye, although a highly touted rookie, lacks the starting experience compared to other quarterbacks in his draft class. The team’s surrounding cast, including running back Rhamondre Stevenson and the pass-catching group, is uninspiring and ranks poorly in the league. The offense struggled in 2023, scoring only 13.9 points per game, and there are doubts about their ability to improve in the upcoming season.

On the defensive side, however, the Patriots are expected to excel. Despite facing injuries in 2023, the defense held up well and could be among the league’s best in 2024. Players like pass rusher Matthew Judon and cornerback Christian Gonzalez are expected to lead a strong defensive unit under the coaching of Jerod Mayo and DeMarcus Covington. The defense has been consistently solid in recent years and could keep games close for the Patriots.

In terms of betting outlook, oddsmakers have set the Patriots’ win total at 4.5 games, with the over favored at -150. Despite the offensive concerns, the potential for a strong defense and improvement at the quarterback position could help the Patriots exceed expectations. With the talent on the defensive side of the ball and the potential for better play at quarterback, the Patriots could rebound from their previous season’s record and achieve at least five wins in the 2024 season.

Overall, while the Patriots face challenges with a rookie quarterback and a lackluster offense, there are reasons for optimism based on the team’s defensive strength and potential for improvement on offense. Fans and bettors may underestimate the Patriots’ ability to compete in the upcoming season, especially if the defense continues to perform well. Despite low expectations, the Patriots could surprise critics and exceed the predicted win total for the 2024 season.

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